Just three home wins for Eintracht Frankfurt this season at the Commerzbank-Arena, way below the Bundesliga average of 44.39%, indicate where they have fallen short, they had seven at the same stage last season. Today they entertain a SC Freiburg side who have had an even greater fall from grace, 5th last season, they are now in the bottom two and desperate for points.

I wrote in the results update on Wednesday, that " it "feels" like we are about to go on another strong run". That hasn't happened yet, but we had a small profit on the Europa League games yesterday and took an outright position and already have wonderful value with that. The vibe is very good going into the weekend and we have six newsletters scheduled over the next three days, which will cost long term subscribers about 8 euros.

Normally I would be loathe to bet a team giving up a big handicap start in a match they did not need to win. However, like in the first leg and as we saw from Atletico last night, PSG are a team looking to establish themselves at the very highest level and every performance is the chance to improve,learn something and perhaps more importantly, throw down a marker to the more established major European clubs. PSG have an eight point lead at the top of Ligue 1 and will be able to coast to the title there and I do not think they will be overly concerned about the upcoming domestic fixture.

Relegation "six pointer", the visitors are four points from safety and a further one behind Bologna and will surely be looking for maximum points today. They have won just once in 14 starts, that was an amazing 4-3 defeat of Milan in a match that without (too much) exaggeration could/should have been 4-9 and arrive today without two suspended players in much admired striker/right winger Domenico Berardi (21 appearances-12 goals -6 assists) and fellow front man Simone Zaza (23-5-0).

I have previewed five events for subscribers today, with six selections at odds of between 2.0 and 26.0 (25-1), including a very strong (1.75 unit) pick at circa 3.20 . One of the Europa League matches is reproduced below.
 

It's just the 9 previews for subscribers today across two email newsletters. The full preview and selection for West Ham v Southampton is our free play today with partial notes for some of the other events we've covered also included.

Serie A is all but over for Milan, catching Inter, whom they currently trail by seven points will doubtless be a target, but the focus otherwise will be the Champions League and Coppa Italia, so a big match this evening.