Freiburg were our team for a great few weeks around the turn of the year and landed some hefty bets at good odds, we have stepped away from them since the end of January after a loss at Wolfsburg, as it felt like they had been found out, but at that time I wrote .............

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Last weekend I ran fully updated Bundesliga stats and Bremen came in with 23 xP from their 20 games which was the same as their real total, their seasonal ITB and BC numbers were 114-150 and 26-39 and for the last five starts 26-28 and 6-5 respectively. Frankfurt had played a game more and their xP of 40 was one more than their actual total, they were 197-50 ITB, 62-38 BC for the season and 53-29 and 15-4 for their last five.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Bayern 93-55 26-13

Leipzig 91-43 24-11

Wolfsburg 69-64 21-14

Frankfurt 85-48 24-7

Leverkusen 61-62 14-17

Dortmund 86-54 21-17

 

 

Glossary:

 

Pd = games played.

Pts= points .

xP = expected points.

ITB = attempts inside the box created/allowed.

BC = big chances created/given up.

ITB 4 = attempts inside the box created/allowed for the last 4 games only.

BC 4 = big chances created/given up for the last four games only.

 

 

 

Dortmund +85

Leipzig +69

Bayern +58

Leverkusen +39

 

 

 

Last Sunday I previewed Bayern's home game with struggling Mainz ...............