J- League .............
Today's Japanese top flight football is going to kick off shortly (with games starting over the next 75 minutes), I previewed three for clubgowi subscribers yesterday afternoon, it is not possible to share any of those , but I can reproduce some of the stats we discussed, which I think might help a little .............
We are one match short of 15 rounds played in JL1 and home wins are running at 34.33% (away wins 39.55%) , this is an ongoing trend, 2013 saw 46.41% of games end in a home win. 40.85 % through 2014 and 38.56% last season. It has to stop somewhere and definitely feels way below where it should be currently and surely we will see an upturn in the coming months. Goals are correspondingly down too, which I suppose is to be expected, they have averaged 2.69 over the last three seasons and we are more than a quarter goal down on that at 2.42. We often look at these numbers and big dips and increases usually even out, at least a little, over the full campaign and we should expect an increase in both.
Since then there have been 28 JL-1 matches played and they have seen 14 (50%) end in home wins and goals average 2.89 per game and it highlights that you can find good starting positions by looking at stats like these on a regular basis. Numbers in terms of home/draw/away wins and goals tend to be remarkably similar year in, year out in certain leagues and "blips" are usually that, a temporary deviation and numbers often still end up where they should be, or close to it.
Good Luck !
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