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clubgowi subscribers were sent six previews today, which included the following ................

 

Italy: Serie A: Internazionale- Empoli

Final round in most leagues we can expect goals in "friendly" matches and I can start with an amazing stat about Inter, their final home game in the last seven seasons have all produced at least four goals, at an average of  5.71 per game, they have conceded two or more goals in five and scored at least four in 4 of the last 6. That alone augurs well for goals today, especially when we add into the mix Empoli's new found playing freedom, which we touched upon last week ......Empoli are that team and their last nine games have averaged 3.67 goals ,their first 27 just 2.07, that is a whopping 1.6 per game more and it is hard to see that new found freedom suddenly deserting them in their final home start of a succesful season, where survival was the only target and has long since been secured.

 
However, in addition, they also have huge motivation to try and win the much discussed (by us) Capocannoniere ,Luca Toni leads by two now, thanks to his goal yeseterday and can only be caught by Mauro Icardi of Inter, who will tie with a brace or take the topscorer honours with a hat-trick and he is priced @ circa 5.0 and 19.0-21.0 respectively to do so and if you can find those quotes, I think they are decent value. I also think that Empoli to score two or more is a good call, as for the match to play out as Icardi and I assume Inter want, they need the visitors to "play ball". I will keep things a little simpler and suggest 1.75 units "over" 3.5 goals 2.20 asian line/Sportmarket as my main selection.
 
I will also suggest 0.75 units "over" 5.5 goals 5.50-7.0 general quote , bigger in places, this would have won in 4 of Inter's last 6 final home games of the season and for the truly adventurous amongst you, I would point out two of those have ended 4-3 which is no lost cause @ 80-1 today, likewise the 3-3 draw @ 40-1.

Icardi to score two goals......... odds 5.0   win !

Empoli to score 2+ .......odds 3.20   win !

"over" 3.5 goals .......odds 2.20  win !

"over" 5.5 goals  ..........odds 7.0 win !

correct score 4-3 ..........odds 81.0  win !

Inter win 4-3 , Icardi scores twice  !

 

Only the main "over" 3.5 goal selection will appear in long term stats and blue type in 2015 results, the rest are just "bonus" suggestions and this is why at clubgowi, content is always valued above everything else, as there as so many winners between the lines ! 

 

Good Luck.

 

 

 

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