Bundesliga stats all updated and "good to go" after the weekend restart games ....................

football betting tips -

 

Pd = games played.

Pts = points

GD = goal difference

XP=  expected points

XGD = expected goal difference

ITB = inside the box net numbers for the season

L8 = inside the box totals (created-conceded) for the last 8 games.

The first three columns are "real" in terms of points won and goals scored/conceded, but league tables do sometimes "lie" even after 26 games and the last four columns are more interesting as they show performance levels and who has been over/underachieving in front of goal at both ends of the pitch.

The numbers which are shown in blue type indicate teams who are playing above the level of their current league position, those in red for teams who have outperformed their stats and we would normally expect results for the former to improve and the latter to fall away. Double or treble (or more) blue or red numbers are especially noteworthy.

I will finish with my normal observation that : I like expected goals/points, but IMO, it is easier to see the direction teams are heading with ITB if only because there are more numerically and the swings quicker to pick up on. But I also think they highlight the flow of games and the superiority, or failings of teams, better.

The top 8 on ITB numbers (with only 7 teams on positive numbers) are ..........
 
Bayern +181
Leipzig +116
Leverkusen +80
Dortmund +65
Frankfurt +58
Wolfsburg +29
Koln +27  
BMG -5
 
XP puts the top 8 as the same, albeit in different order .......
 
Bayern 59 pts
Leipzig 55
Dortmund 49
BMG 49
Leverkusen 45
Wolfsburg 44  
Frankfurt 37
Koln 35
 
These teams filled the top 7 positions in 2018-19, with Koln, who were 5th in the top flight in 2017, promoted from 2.Bundesliga last season and it's hard to make a case for anyone else in the Bundesliga being better, but Frankfurt with a couple of awful showings are doing everything they can to force themselves out of the equation ! 
 
 

These stats are only ever a starting point for our analysis and clubgowi will be looking at all 18 Bundesliga games over the next eight days with two full rounds scheduled.

 

Good luck and stay safe !
 
 

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