England

Premier League betting tip:Southampton - Arsenal

Jun 25, 2020
football betting tips -
 
 

Premier League:Southampton - Arsenal

 
I don't really have a lot to add to my weekend notes for both teams, we sided with Southampton for their trip to Norwich on Friday .............
 
Saints are a net +63 on the season for ITB, +33 for the last eight games, xP gives the visitors an extra 4 point advantage and actually places Southampton 8th in the Premier League.
 

Premier League betting tip: Tottenham Hotspur- Manchester United

Jun 19, 2020
football betting tips -
 
Tottenham Hotspur- Manchester United
 
Only four points between these two in the real table, but xP says that should be 17, placing United 4th and Spurs joint 12th. ITB gives the Reds a +92 edge, +24 for the last 8 starts through which Spurs have allowed the second most top flight attempts .
 
No team has kept fewer clean sheets in the Premier League than Tottenham this season (4) and I have discussed their defensive issues and problems with and without Harry Kane multiple times .
 

Championship updated XP and ITB stats .............

Apr 22, 2020
football betting tips -

 

Pd = games played.

Pts = points

GD = goal difference

XP=  expected points

XGD = expected goal difference

ITB = inside the box net numbers for the season

L8 = inside the box totals (created-conceded) for the last 8 games.

At present I am undecided whether to go with 8 or 6 games for the last column, but it probably doesn't overly matter as I will be looking for changing trends over shorter periods than that in any case and highlighting those within the matchday previews.

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