Midweek MLS previews .............
Oct 27, 2021
MLS:
All teams have between 2-4 games left to play, regular season is scheduled to end on November 2nd.
estern | Overall | Home | Away | |||||||||||||||||||||
P | W | D | L | F | A | Gdf | Pts | Form | P | W | D | L | F | A | P | W | D | L | F | A | ||||
1 | Seattle Sounders | 31 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 51 | 28 | +23 | 58 | LXLW | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 14 | ||
2 | Sporting Kansas City | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 54 | 34 | +20 | 55 | WLWW | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 16 | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 18 | ||
3 | Colorado Rapids | 31 | 15 | 10 | 6 | 45 | 32 | +13 | 55 | WXLW | 16 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 26 | 12 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 20 | ||
4 | Portland Timbers | 31 | 14 | 4 | 13 | 48 | 51 | -3 | 46 | LLLW | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 30 | 22 | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 18 | 29 | ||
5 | LA Galaxy | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 46 | 48 | -2 | 46 | XWWX | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 26 | 19 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 20 | 29 | ||
6 | Minnesota United | 31 | 12 | 9 | 10 | 36 | 38 | -2 | 45 | XWWL | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 13 | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 25 | ||
7 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 31 | 11 | 11 | 9 | 41 | 42 | -1 | 44 | XWWL | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 22 | 15 | 16 | 2 | 9 | 5 | 19 | 27 | ||
8 | Real Salt Lake | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 48 | 46 | +2 | 42 | LWLW | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 14 | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 32 | ||
9 | Los Angeles | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 47 | 45 | +2 | 41 | XWWX | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 30 | 22 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 23 | ||
10 | San Jose Earthquakes | 31 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 41 | 48 | -7 | 37 | XWLL | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 24 | 23 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 17 | 25 | ||
11 | Houston Dynamo | 32 | 6 | 12 | 14 | 36 | 51 | -15 | 30 | LLWL | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 21 | 21 | 16 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 15 | 30 | ||
12 | FC Dallas | 31 | 6 | 11 | 14 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 29 | XLOL | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 22 | 18 | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 34 | ||
13 | Austin FC | 31 | 8 | 4 | 19 | 31 | 50 | -19 | 28 | WLLW | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 24 | 15 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 7 | 26 |
LAFC- Seattle Sounders
This is a game with huge postseason ramifications. Sounders have already secured their place in the playoffs , but can still finish 1st, 2nd or 3rd in the West.
Tiebreakers within the Conference are points, then total wins, before goal difference is considered.
The #1 seed gets a bye week and will host the winner of the game between the 4th and 5th placed teams in the Conference semi-finals, #2 will host #7 and #3 will host #6, with the winners meeting in the semi's with the higher seeded team hosting. These are all now single leg ties, so home advantage is key.
LAFC probably need at least six, possibly 7 points from their remaining three games to force their way in , but it is not cut and dry as Minnesota and Vancouver meet tomorrow and LAFC host the Whitecaps this coming weekend. Galaxy have to play the top two, both on the road in their next two starts. Minnesota actually plays three teams, all currently top 7 in their remaining games and so on, so a lot is likely to change and it is probable that there will still be plenty up for grabs going into the final round (34) of games.
Seattle can still finish #1 without winning this evening, it will be super tough for LAFC to break into the top 7 with getting something from this . In terms of xP, Sounders are the #2 ranked team in the West with an xGD of +9, they should be 9 goals worse off offensively and 5 worse defensively, LA are, incredibly, the #1ranked with an xGD of +20 and they should be six goals better off offensively and 12 defensively and they have little luck, especially in front of their own goal and injury wise. However, maybe things are starting to turn and Cristian Arango of LAFC is in fine form, with 12 goals and an assists in just 14 appearances, with six of those goals coming in the last three starts and star forward and 2019 MLS MVP Carlos Vela is set to return after an injury hit season, which has seen him play only 1,179 minutes. Head coach Bob Bradley said that he was likely to be available and play off the bench and that "we will be looking for some good spots where we can fit Carlos in to help us". Vela has an incredible 67 goals and 29 assists in 97 appearances for LAFC, a goal contribution every 83 minutes. Sounders are also without midfielder Joao Paulo who is suspended, the 30 yo Brazilian has 3 goals and 8 assists this season, he has missed just one game since his arrival last season a 1-0 defeat away to RSL last month where Seattle had an xGF of 0.47 and did not create a real chance of note. He has been involved in all MVP talk and ranks very highly in all key midfielder stats, suffice to say he is a big loss. That goes doubly so as the Sounders are already missing a host of key players , including top scorer Raul Ruidiaz (16 goals in 25 starts), with Sounders winless in the last three he has missed (two defeats) and for once, it looks like the advantages are with LA and they have to make the most of this big chance.
2 units LAFC -1 ball 2.65 asian line.
NYCFC- Chicago Fire
DC United- New York Red Bulls
I have been championing DCU for much of this season and they have served us pretty well, but it has always been more about the future and next season or 2023 and the seed changes taking place behind the scenes in Washington. There are so many positives for them to take from this campaign, but their recent defensive record isn't one of them and they have conceded 14 goals in their last six starts, nine in the last two ! A 3-2 home loss to Supporters Shield winners Revolution was fair enough, although the visitors were rotating , but the 6-0 loss at NYCFC last weekend was not just a terribly heavy defeat, but indicated that United might have hit "a wall". It was all the more surprising as City were struggling, but more of them shortly. DCU are now two places and two points outside the playoff spots having played a game more than the two teams that are most likely to be "caught".
Now the Red Bulls are in town and as a club, they are always mindful of what NYCFC do and will certainly not want to lose to a team their biggest rival has put six past . NYRB are "always" in the playoffs, missing out just once in 17 seasons and currently on a run of 11 straight. They started very poorly this season and won just 5 of their first 18 starts, but I wrote in mid summer ..........NYRB are pressing very hard under former Barnsley head coach Gerhard Struber and it took a while for it all to fall into place, but they have been causing good teams a lot of problems recently. Struber and Red Bulls were always a "hard press" match made in heaven if things clicked and it looks like it has.
They have averaged 2.0 points from their 12 subsequent games and are unbeaten in eight (6-2-0) keeping clean sheets in five including two meetings with NYCFC which is a great form line with DCU. Red Bulls are a point behind City, but with a game in hand and could still clinch a top 3 place and home field advantage in the playoffs by winning out and that, as well as being top dog in the Big Apple are both incentives.
City woke from their slumbers big time against DCU , not only winning 6-0 but snapping a six game winless streak, putting them back in charge of their own destiny and this is by far, their easiest remaining fixture. Fire have picked up in recent weeks , but only have pride to play for and just two games left to play, both of which are on the road, where they are notoriously bad travellers, losing 11 times away from the Windy City this season and with a 6-16-38 away record since the start of the 2018 campaign, conceding at the rate of 1.98 goals per game across those 60 starts. They have scored 7 in their last three away starts and can throw caution to the wind now and City are back at Yankee Stadium where they usually win, but concede, a policy and play that we have absolutely milked over the years. City were fantastic at the weekend not just scoring six, but going 15-3 on target, 6-0 BC's 14-7 ITB and being denied by 9 saves and with one game they reminded the rest of the MLS why, statistically they are the #1 ranked team . Normal Yankee Stadium (very odd dimensions and layout for a football ground) to be resumed, big win for City with BTS.
2 units NYRB level ball 2.47 asian line.
1.75 units NYCFC -1.5 ball 2.12 asian line.
1.5 units NYCFC to win and BTS @ 2.75 Pinnacle.
Good luck !
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