This is one of those games where I smell an "upset" of sorts. Parma are unbeaten in five and are expected to beat a visitor who struggle on the road , especially for goals and who are yet to win away from their island home this campaign. However, the hosts are without midfielders Wálter Gargano (9-1-1) and Marco Parolo (15-6-3 .... missed one game in 55 weeks a 3-0 home defeat to Udinese) and with Daniele Galloppa still out to long term injury, that leaves them short of quality options across the middle of the park.

Cagliari are themselves unbeaten in four, three were at home, but the road point came at highflying Roma, where they came close to snatching an unlikely win, they arrive without suspended holding player Daniele Conti (14-4-1... lost 6 from 9 without him) and injured secondary striker Víctor Ibarbo (14-2-1), but have scored four in their last two starts without him. The loss of Conti is important, but will be less felt with Parma unable to exert as much pressure as normal in midfield. I must be honest, it is the loss of Parolo which swings me the way of the visitors, I watched that defeat to Udinese and Parma were devoid of ideas without their midfield inspiration and Udine were worth maybe more than a three goal win and they were at less than full strength that day, being without Di Natale for example. Only Verona outsde of the bottom 5 have conceded more goals than Parma and one might be enough for Cagliari to snatch at least a point today.

That ended 0-0, Cagliari could hardly believe they hadn't scored in the second half . Mirante got a touch to Marco Sau’s shot, which hit the inside of the post and was seemingly heading into the goal before Massimo Gobbi performed a last ditch clearance. That was unlucky, however, my reasons for betting them were more of the "opposing Parma" variety and I am switching sides today. Cagliari are without suspended Luca Rossettini (15-0-0..... Cagliari are 0-1-5 in the last six starts he has missed), Ibarbo is still out, but Conti returns.

For Napoli it is all about the league now, they look fairly secure in top three , so are basically freerolling for the title at present, they would go level with Roma in second for 24 hours and move to within five points of Juve with the win and they come into this with better options than for recent starts where they have scored, but also conceded freely, with the return of Pepe Reina in goal ( 14 conceded in 14 starts, six in two without him).Valon Behrami should be able to play longer tonight after just 14 minutes against Inter last week and likewise left back Pablo Armero after five minutes last Sunday, offensively they look in pretty good shape, with just Marek Hamsik still missing. The visitors have not condeded in their last three visits here and with Reina back and improved defensive options tonight, a fourth would not surprise and they have enough firepower to secure the win. 1.5 units Napoli -0.5 ball 2.17-2.22 asian line/Ibramarket.

Cagliari: Adan ,Avramov, Astori, Avelar, Del Fabro, Murru, Oikonomou, Perico, Pisano, Cabrera, Conti, Cossu, Dessena, Ekdal, Eriksson, Nainggolan , Ibraimi, Nenè, Pinilla, Sau.

Napoli:Reina, Rafael, Colombo, Albiol, Armero, Britos, Fernandez, Reveillere, Uvini, Behrami, Dzemaili, Maggio, Inler, Radosevic, Callejon, Duvan, Higuain, Insigne, Mertens, Pandev.